Research

Working papers:


Tenure, Accountability and Electoral Selection: Evidence from Italy, 2023.  working paper here


This paper investigates the impact of a 2014 reform that extended term-limits for mayors of Italian towns with population under 3,000, transitioning from two to three consecutive terms. Exploiting the fact that the reform was not anticipated by incumbent second-term mayors, I estimate separately three main channels through which this policy shift may have impacted local government performance: mayors’ tenure, electoral accountability, and electoral selection. My results indicate that the overall effect of the reform on voters’ welfare was negative. In particular, I uncover a negative tenure effects in the speed of payments in investment spending and in the supply of general administrative service. Specifically, third-term mayors exhibit a decline in performance compared to their second-term. A possible explanation for this performance drop is a decrease in motivation that arise during the concluding stretch of extended tenures as mayor of a small municipality. In such contexts, the mayor’s job tend to become repetitive and less engaging over time. My findings can be of relevance for policymakers contemplating similar reforms for small subnational local governments.



Local biased sex-ratios and female labor market outcomes: Evidence from Italy,  with Marco Cozzani and Francesco Colombo. 
VisitINPS project. draft available soon


This paper explores the long-term effects of the World War I demographic upheaval on female labor force participation in Italy. Using the INPS database, we discovered that women born between 1916 and 1930 in areas with higher soldier casualties were likelier to enter the labor force. However, in municipalities with greater war exposure, women exhibited reduced earnings and lower divorce rates. This suggests that such regions might’ve seen subtler socio-cultural shifts due to compromised human capital investments. 


Policy work:

Italy: The challenges of the NGEU program, opportunities and constraints. This report is commissioned and funded by  the LUHNIP of Università Luiss, Roma.